Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.Italy's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in the third quarter was 6.1%, and the previous value was 6.80%.The US media said that the Biden administration is considering imposing new sanctions on Russian oil trade. Informed sources: The details have yet to be finalized. The Bloomberg website reported on the 10th local time that the Biden administration is considering imposing new sanctions on Russian oil trade before Trump returns to the White House, and the specific details have yet to be finalized. The article said that the Biden administration is weighing new and stricter sanctions against Russia's lucrative oil trade, trying to increase pressure on the Kremlin before Trump returns to the White House. According to an insider who asked not to be named, the details of possible new measures are still being worked out, but Biden's team is considering imposing restrictions on some Russian oil exports. Up to now, the Russian side has not responded. (CCTV)
Russian Savings Bank: The contribution of artificial intelligence to Russia's GDP may reach 11.2 trillion rubles by 2030. Alexander Bedia Xin, the first vice chairman of the board of directors of Russian Savings Bank, said in his speech at the AI Journey that the application of artificial intelligence in Russia may bring 11.2 trillion rubles to GDP by 2030.IEA Monthly Report: The daily output of the refinery will reach the annual peak of 84.3 million barrels in December. It is estimated that in 2024, the daily output of the refinery will increase by 520,000 barrels to an average of 82.7 million barrels per day. It is estimated that in 2025, the daily output of refineries will increase by 620,000 barrels to an average of 83.3 million barrels per day.Interbank certificates of deposit funds are popular. In the context of the current downward trend of non-bank interbank deposit rates, interbank deposit rates are relatively more attractive, and interbank deposit funds have recently gained popularity. Since December, the 7-day holding fund of AAA index of China Securities Interbank Deposits issued by BlackRock Fund and Agricultural Bank of China Credit Suisse Fund has reached the upper limit of 5 billion yuan, and triggered proportional placement. Both funds are partially confirmed by the principle of "doomsday ratio confirmation", and the doomsday confirmation ratio is 73.36% and 27.02% respectively. In addition, Huatai Bairui Fund and China-Canada Fund also imposed subscription restrictions on their 7-day holding funds of the AAA Index of China Securities Interbank Deposits. From December 11th, the amount of multiple cumulative subscriptions (including conversion and fixed investment) for a single fund account of Huatai Bairui CSI Interbank Deposit Certificate AAA Index 7-day holding fund shall not exceed 100,000 yuan; From December 6th, the subscription amount of a single investor of the 7-day holding fund of China-Canada CSI Interbank Deposit Certificate AAA Index will not exceed 10 million yuan (except for individual investors and public asset management products). (CSI Taurus)
President of Hilton Asia Pacific: India's outbound travel will be the story of the next decade. According to the data of the World Tourism and Travel Council, in 2023, Indian tourists spent $34.2 billion on outbound travel. Allen Watts, president of Hilton Asia Pacific, said that compared with the future, the current level of Indian outbound travel consumption is "negligible". "The story of India is unfolding before us," he said. "India's outbound travel will be the story of the next decade." According to the World Tourism and Travel Council's Economic Impact in 2024 report, by 2034, the outbound spending of Indian tourists is expected to more than double, reaching 76.8 billion US dollars, which will make India's position in the global tourism consumption country rise from the 12th in 2023 to the 7th.The State Council approved the Hefei Land and Space Master Plan (2021-2035), which proposed to improve the functional structure and spatial layout of the city, coordinate the industrial layout, comprehensive transportation, facility allocation and land use, and give priority to ensuring the space needs of advanced manufacturing industries, scientific apparatus and other scientific and technological innovations. Build an international air cargo hub and a national railway hub, improve the service level of logistics infrastructure, improve the external and internal channels of multi-directional Unicom and multimodal transport, and build a safe, convenient, green and low-carbon urban comprehensive transportation system. Coordinate water conservancy, energy, environment, communications, national defense and other infrastructure spaces, actively and steadily promote the construction of "flat and emergency dual-use" public infrastructure, optimize the regional layout of disaster prevention, mitigation and relief facilities, and improve the security and resilience of national space.IEA Monthly Report: Despite the rising demand, the oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday that although OPEC+extended the reduction of oil supply and the demand forecast was slightly higher than expected, the global oil market will be fully supplied in 2025. In its monthly oil market report, the agency said that its forecast of global oil demand growth in 2025 was raised from 990,000 barrels per day last month to 1.1 million barrels per day, "mainly from Asian countries, especially affected by China's recent stimulus measures".
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide